Darren Waller
CAR · TE
63%
clears 2.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
2.0
Mixture P90
6.0
Mixture mean
2.6
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DET
Detroit
Lions
64%
AT
CAR
Carolina
Panthers
36%
Lean
DET 64%
Total
50.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CAR controls
R1
27%
DET controls
R2
23%
DET controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Jared Goff
DET · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 30 pass attempts
Floor
21
Median
30
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
30
Attempts
23
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
63% of the mixture clears 2 targets
P10 0.0P50 2.02.0+P90 6.0
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
31
Team targets
Offense passing volume
2.6
His share
8% of the targets
71%
Catch rate
1.8 receptions
6.7
Yards / target
Served gain
17.2 receiving yards
Same inheritance
CAR pass · script swing