Backfield IQ
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Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DEN
Broncos
40%
AT
SF
49ers
60%
Lean
SF 60%
Total
46.7
1-score
43%
R1
29%
DEN controls
R4
27%
SF controls
R3
23%
SF controls
R2
21%
One-score game
Bo Nix
DEN · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 33 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
33
Ceiling
45
How the passing volume is built
33
Attempts
21
Completions
RJ Harvey
DEN · RB
53%
clears 5.0 carries
Served forecast
Mixture P10
2.0
Mixture P50
5.0
Mixture P90
11.0
Mixture mean
5.7

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
53% of the mixture clears 5 carries
P10 2.0
P50 5.0
5.0+
P90 11
5.0+
Mixture chain
How the rushing volume is built
9.2
Carries
Backfield assignment
5.7 carries

Same inheritance

DEN rush · script swing