Mac Jones
SF · QB · pass attempts
20%
clears 1.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
0.0
Mixture P90
3.0
Mixture mean
0.9
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DEN
Denver
Broncos
40%
AT
SF
San Francisco
49ers
60%
Lean
SF 60%
Total
46.7
1-score
43%
R1
29%
DEN controls
R4
27%
SF controls
R3
23%
SF controls
R2
21%
One-score game
Bo Nix
DEN · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 33 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
33
Ceiling
45
How the passing volume is built
33
Attempts
21
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
20% of the mixture clears 1 pass attempts
P10 0.0P50 0.01.0+P90 3.0
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
0.9
Attempts
0–3 across scripts
5.4
Completions
Expected completions
0.9 pass attempts
Same inheritance
SF pass · script swing