Jake Ferguson
DAL · TE
55%
clears 3.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
3.0
Mixture P90
6.0
Mixture mean
3.1
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DAL
Dallas
Cowboys
42%
AT
HOU
Houston
Texans
58%
Lean
HOU 58%
Total
47.5
1-score
44%
R1
28%
DAL controls
R4
27%
HOU controls
R2
22%
One-score game
R3
22%
HOU controls
Dak Prescott
DAL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
55%
clears 32 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
32
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
32
Attempts
19.6
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
55% of the mixture clears 3 targets
P10 0.0P50 3.03.0+P90 6.0
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
32
Team targets
Offense passing volume
3.1
His share
10% of the targets
76%
Catch rate
2.4 receptions
5.8
Yards / target
Served gain
18.4 receiving yards
Same inheritance
DAL pass · script swing