← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DAL
Cowboys
42%
AT
HOU
Texans
58%
Lean
HOU 58%
Total
47.5
1-score
44%
R1
28%
DAL controls
R4
27%
HOU controls
R2
22%
One-score game
R3
22%
HOU controls
Dak Prescott
DAL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
55%
clears 32 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
32
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
32
Attempts
19.6
Completions
George Pickens
DAL · WR
51%
clears 6.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
2.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
10.0
Mixture mean
6.1

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
51% of the mixture clears 6 targets
P10 2.0
P50 6.0
6.0+
P90 10
6.0+
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
32
Team targets
Offense passing volume
6.1
His share
19% of the targets
65%
Catch rate
3.9 receptions
7.7
Yards / target
Served gain
47 receiving yards

Same inheritance

DAL pass · script swing