Jack Strand
ATL · QB · pass attempts
42%
clears 1.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
0.0
Mixture P90
7.0
Mixture mean
2.3
← Matchups
Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
ATL
Atlanta
Falcons
42%
AT
NO
New Orleans
Saints
58%
Lean
NO 58%
Total
48.6
1-score
43%
R1
28%
ATL controls
R4
27%
NO controls
R3
23%
NO controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 13 pass attempts
Floor
6.0
Median
13
Ceiling
27
How the passing volume is built
14.7
Attempts
14.5
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
42% of the mixture clears 1 pass attempts
P10 0.0P50 0.01.0+P90 7.0
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
2.3
Attempts
0–7 across scripts
2.3 pass attempts
Same inheritance
ATL pass · script swing