← Matchups
Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
ATL
Falcons
42%
AT
NO
Saints
58%
Lean
NO 58%
Total
48.6
1-score
43%
R1
28%
ATL controls
R4
27%
NO controls
R3
23%
NO controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 13 pass attempts
Floor
6.0
Median
13
Ceiling
27
How the passing volume is built
14.7
Attempts
14.5
Completions
Chris Olave
NO · WR
52%
clears 6.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
3.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
10.0
Mixture mean
6.1

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
52% of the mixture clears 6 targets
P10 3.0
P50 6.0
6.0+
P90 10
6.0+
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
33
Team targets
Offense passing volume
6.1
His share
19% of the targets
69%
Catch rate
4.2 receptions
7.1
Yards / target
Served gain
43 receiving yards

Same inheritance

NO pass · script swing