← Matchups
Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
ATL
Falcons
42%
AT
NO
Saints
58%
Lean
NO 58%
Total
48.6
1-score
43%
R1
28%
ATL controls
R4
27%
NO controls
R3
23%
NO controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 13 pass attempts
Floor
6.0
Median
13
Ceiling
27
How the passing volume is built
14.7
Attempts
14.5
Completions
Zach Wilson
NO · QB · pass attempts
38%
clears 1.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
0.0
Mixture P90
7.0
Mixture mean
2.1

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
38% of the mixture clears 1 pass attempts
P10 0.0
P50 0.0
1.0+
P90 7.0
1.0+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
2.1
Attempts
0–7 across scripts
4
Completions
Expected completions
2.1 pass attempts

Same inheritance

NO pass · script swing