Tua Tagovailoa
ATL · QB
58%
clears 12.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
6.0
Mixture P50
12.0
Mixture P90
26.0
Mixture mean
14.0
← Matchups
Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
ATL
Atlanta
Falcons
42%
AT
NO
New Orleans
Saints
58%
Lean
NO 58%
Total
48.6
1-score
43%
R1
28%
ATL controls
R4
27%
NO controls
R3
23%
NO controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 13 pass attempts
Floor
6.0
Median
13
Ceiling
27
How the passing volume is built
14.7
Attempts
14.5
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
58% of the mixture clears 12 pass attempts
P10 6.0P50 1212+P90 26
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
14
Attempts
6–26 across scripts
11.9
Completions
Expected completions
14 pass attempts
Same inheritance
ATL pass · script swing