Start / sit workspace
Put the ranges on one line.
Floor, median, ceiling, and the chance each name clears the number your lineup needs. The midpoint is no longer the decision.
Choose the two options
Build the start / sit
Justin Jefferson
MIN · WR · vs MIA
Floor · P10
15
Median · P50
44
Ceiling · P90
98
99% plays · 90% offensive snaps
29% chance of 67+
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN · WR · vs JAX
Floor · P10
25
Median · P50
73
Ceiling · P90
132
99% plays · 87% offensive snaps
54% chance of 67+
Same scale · same slate
Receiving yards
Bars are the middle 80%. The line is the number your lineup actually needs.
Justin Jefferson
Ja'Marr Chase
67+
Justin Jefferson
29%
chance of 67+ receiving yards
Ja'Marr Chase
54%
chance of 67+ receiving yards
Probabilities use the served distribution when an exact PMF is available; otherwise they are read from the P10–P90 summary.
What the ranges say
Ja'Marr Chase is more likely to clear 67+ receiving yards.
Safer floor
Ja'Marr Chase
Higher median
Ja'Marr Chase
Higher ceiling
Ja'Marr Chase
67+ chance
Ja'Marr Chase
2025 production · context only
Justin Jefferson
MIN · WR
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN · WR
17Games16
7Rush yards14
0Rush TDs0
84Receptions125
1,048Receiving yards1,412
2Receiving TDs8
1Solo tackles5